As i said - you foreigners don't know anything about Russia.
Was the option "Lukashenko will negotiate a deal" on your radar? Could it even appear in your brain in a possible list of variants of how situation would develop?
Of course not, you have no idea how this Russian world works.
So many bad takes were said over the day, people were trying to outcompete each other in stupidity, even going as far as proclaiming THE END OF RUSSIA. (on twitter and youtube mostly)
But at the end of the day, all of them have to eat a crow. Because you just not connected with reality here and just project your western insecurities, fantasies and cultural trauma on the world you never been to.