I won't buy it even if it is at 0

This.

At this point they behave like highly leveraged growth stonks anyway and I wouldn't touch a 10x PLTR long with a 10 foot pole.

70% MSCI World, 30% MSCI Emerging Markets is all you need

Or alternatively just buy directly ACWI so you don't come up with your own market balances

I just stick with the Vanguard SP500 ETF, best TER, great tracking difference even basically pays you to hold it, I strongly believe that the global braindrain into America will keep making them outperform any market in the long run (just look how they skimmed off the 100k thoroughly screened and selected Ukrainian refugees that gladly took their golden ticket while we got the rest) and should American culture and dominance fall I have a reason to take plan B into barbarism, rape and cannibalism.

 

This is also valid advice and if you want all world exposure, in my opinion better then the usual 70-30 split.

Are you sure it's a good idea to put everything into one country? What, if the US gets fucked, nuked, race war, civil war etc.?

It's over frens

First as we saw with the 'rona burst, every and all other assets would go down the shitter too, second, if the chinkers or socialism should become the prevalent form of society, I shall become the most destructive form of myself.

And I say that without any wish to actually live in the US as a regular earner, I just want to live off them and whore away in Asia in peace.

 

Why so overweight on emerging markets?

I don't think, 30% is overweight. I personally think putting everything into one region, one country is too big of a risk, so diversifying with emerging markets makes sense in my opinion.

EM is just a mene from past time held up by investing boomers IMO.

Most of them are corrupt shitholes, once you saw them yourself you wouldn't ever invest money there.

Maybe, only maybe a Vietnam ETF, as they seem to elevate themselves as somewhat of a new Chiner.

 

Yeah, diversification is good. But I believe EM isn't nearly 30% of the global market cap. It's like 10% if I recall correctly.

Yeah, 11%. However, this is also due to the fact that many companies in these countries are not even listed on the stock exchange because the stock and capital markets are not yet as developed as in the industrialized countries. Companies find other ways to finance themselves.

 

In the end it's a matter of perspective and it depends on which "evaluation standard" you take. For example you could also say that EM are 40% of global GDP. I think, it makes sense to invest in EM, because they're a huge part of the world and represent a much bigger population than even the Industrial countries. EM ETFs developed quite well.

Anything under the real market weight is underweight and everything above the real market weight is overweight and thus and active bet against the market. A passive index investor will follow the market weight. Today the EM can be ~10%, tomorrow they can be 1%. Investors who choose to take an active bet like buying 70-30% are saying they know better than the markets what will happen.

It is much easier to just follow the market index passively and take your own bets out from the equation all together.

But passive investing is always lagged to the actual market, meaning that any significant shifts are going to have an outsized negative impact on passive funds (see the current situation where tech was very over valued and things like energy were massively undervalued). The index will wind up selling tech low and buying energy high in the next rebalancing

The stock market is the worlds most sophisticated and effective machine that attempts to bet the future. ALL the known factors and risks priced in. It keeps revaluing itself constantly. When something unknown and disruptive as the Corona shock or Putins invasion happen, all the stocks get revalued, because the future does not look so bright anymore.

There is no lag, they are following the market as they develop. Someone claiming to know how to predict when "laggs" happen (this man should be able to know when the stock market will lagg upwards as well) will be the worlds richest man.